Data Insights

Bite-sized insights on how the world is changing, published every few days.

Child & Infant Mortality

Declining child mortality, fast and slow

The image depicts a line chart illustrating child mortality rates, specifically the estimated percentage of newborns who do not survive past the age of five. The chart has two distinct lines: one representing Sweden in blue and the other representing South Korea in red. 

Starting in the early 1800s, the blue line for Sweden shows a gradual decline in the child mortality rate, fluctuating around 35% at the beginning and continuing to decrease steadily over the years, reaching nearly 0% by 2023. 

In contrast, the red line for South Korea begins more steeply in the mid-20th century, experiencing a rapid decline after 1950, ultimately approaching a very low percentage by 2023. 

The title at the top reads "Child mortality rate," and below it, descriptive text clarifies that the data reflects the estimated share of newborns who die before reaching five years old. The sources for the data are listed at the bottom as Gapminder (2015) and the UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (2025). The entire chart is labeled as CC BY for Creative Commons licensing.

As this chart shows, two centuries ago, about one in three children in Sweden died before they were five years old.

Since then, the child mortality rate in Sweden has declined to 0.3%.

South Korea achieved a similar reduction much faster. This is often the case: the first countries to improve living conditions usually needed much longer than some of those countries catching up later — the latter can learn from what worked elsewhere.

Explore this data for every other country in the world

Child mortality in Malawi has fallen by more than 80% since 1990

A line graph illustrating the trend in child mortality in Malawi from 1990 to 2022. The vertical axis represents the percentage of newborns who die before reaching the age of five, ranging from 0% to 25%. The horizontal axis represents the years, ranging from 1990 to 2022.

In 1990, nearly 25% of newborns died before their fifth birthday, which is depicted at the top left of the graph. The line shows a significant downward trend over the years, with a steady decline in child mortality rates. By 2022, the percentage had decreased to 4%, indicated at the bottom right of the graph.

Key annotations on the graph highlight that in 1990, the mortality rate represented 1 in 4 newborns, while by 2022, it represented 1 in 25 newborns. 

The data source for the information is listed as the UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation, dated 2024, and the graph is licensed under Creative Commons BY.

In 1990, one in four newborns in Malawi died before their fifth birthday.

At that time, the average number of births per woman was almost seven. This meant that many families experienced the tragedy of losing a child.

But in recent decades, Malawi has made incredible progress. As you can see in the chart, the child mortality rate has dropped to 1 in 25 children — an 84% reduction.

Many factors have contributed to this decline. The expansion of antenatal care and the attendance of skilled health professionals at birth have been crucial in saving newborns in the earliest days of life. Increasing vaccination rates, distributing insecticide-treated bed nets and antimalarials, and programs to stop the transmission of HIV have all reduced the risks of dying in infancy.

Read more about the role that vaccines have played in reducing child mortality

Childhood pneumonia deaths have plummeted in Nepal — and more lives can still be saved

A line graph illustrating the decline in child pneumonia deaths in Nepal from 1980 to 2021 is presented at the top with the title, "Child pneumonia deaths have dropped dramatically in Nepal, but it's still behind wealthier nations." The vertical axis represents estimated annual deaths per 100,000 population, ranging from 0 to 1,400, while the horizontal axis marks the years from 1980 to 2021. 

The graph shows a steep downward trend starting from around 1,400 deaths per 100,000 in the 1980s, indicating that Nepal had one of the highest rates of child pneumonia deaths at that time. A significant drop is observed, and by 2021, the death rate declined to 75 per 100,000. A note emphasizes that high-income countries have a much lower death rate, depicted by a flat line near the bottom of the graph.

Data sources cited at the bottom are IHME and Global Burden of Disease, with the date of the data being 2024. The graph is attributed to the Creative Commons BY license.

In the early 1980s, Nepal’s children suffered from some of the highest death rates from pneumonia in the world, with over 1,400 deaths for every 100,000 children under five. That meant around 39,000 children died from pneumonia each year, more than from any other cause.

Since then, Nepal has made huge progress. The death rate has fallen almost 20-fold. This improvement is due to various measures, including pneumococcal and Hib vaccines, better access to healthcare and antibiotics, and improved nutrition.

Despite this progress, pneumonia is still among the leading causes of death in children in Nepal. And we know that more progress can be made: high-income countries have achieved much lower rates, with fewer than 5 per 100,000.

Explore how deaths from pneumonia among children have changed in other countries

Less than 200 years ago, one in three Dutch children died before the age of five

A line graph illustrating the estimated share of newborns in the Netherlands who die before reaching age five from 1840 to 2023. The y-axis represents the percentage of children dying before age five, ranging from 0% to 40%, while the x-axis shows the years from 1840 to 2023.

The graph has a prominent downward trend, indicating a significant decline in child mortality rates over time. 

The data sources listed at the bottom include Gapminder (2015) and UN IGME (2025). The design is attributed with a copyright notice indicating "CC BY."

Losing a child is one of the worst things that can happen to a parent.

Imagine living in a world where there was a one-in-three chance your child would die. This wasn't just the reality for your children; it could just as well happen to your siblings, friends, or neighbors.

Such a world seems unimaginable today, but it wasn’t too far from reality two centuries ago, even in some economically advanced countries.

The chart shows the share of newborns who died before age five in the Netherlands since 1840. These historical estimates are more uncertain than recent data, but it's likely that before the 1870s, about one-in-three newborns died. Each birth carried odds no parent today could contemplate facing.

But a huge amount of progress has been made since then. Today, one in 250 Dutch children dies. This progress was driven by many factors, including improvements in nutrition, access to clean water, sanitation, vaccines, and reductions in poverty.

To learn more, read my colleague Hannah’s recent article: “Children in rich countries are much less likely to die than a few decades ago, but we rarely hear about this progress”

Despite being preventable and treatable, malaria is the leading cause of child mortality in much of Sub-Saharan Africa

A world map highlights regions in Sub-Saharan Africa where malaria was the leading cause of death for children under five years old in 2021. Countries affected are shaded in red against a lighter gray background. A text overlay states that in Nigeria, malaria led to over 190,000 deaths among children under five in 2021, more than any other cause. The data source is identified as IHME, Global Burden of Disease, 2024, with a CC BY license noted at the bottom.

In 2021, malaria was the leading cause of death among children under five in more than 20 countries in Sub-Saharan Africa.

In Nigeria, over 125,000 young children died from it — that’s 340 every day, one child around every four minutes. The country accounts for one-third of all under‑5 malaria deaths in the world.

Malaria is both preventable and treatable. But millions of children still lack access to basic protection: bed nets, timely treatment, and safe living conditions. We’ve seen malaria eliminated elsewhere.

The tools exist; the challenge is getting them to those who need them most.

Read more from my colleague Max Roser on why progress is possible — and how each of us can contribute

In some countries, more than one in three mothers have lost a child younger than five

A global map shows the share of mothers aged 20–44 who have lost a child under five years old. The data is categorized into four ranges: less than 1% (light yellow), 1% to 5% (yellow), 5% to 10% (orange), 10% to 30% (dark orange), and more than 30% (red). Higher rates are concentrated in Sub-Saharan Africa and parts of South Asia, while lower rates are seen in North America, Europe, and parts of East Asia. Data is sourced from Smith-Greenaway et al. (2021) and reflects single-year estimates between 2010 and 2018.

There are few experiences, if any, that are more painful for a parent than losing a child.

In the past, child deaths were much more common than they are today. But even when these deaths were not unusual, historical diary entries show us that most parents still found them heartbreaking.

Unfortunately, in many countries today, a large share of parents still experience the loss of a child. The map here shows the share of mothers who lost a child before they reached the age of five.

In most of Europe and North America, this share is less than 1%. But in some of the world’s poorest countries — like Cameroon, Nigeria, and the Central African Republic — more than one in three mothers have experienced this tragedy.

These figures come from a research article by Emily Smith-Greenaway and colleagues, based on reported or estimated data from 2010 to 2018 for mothers aged 20 to 44.

Read my colleague Max Roser’s article for more historical context around this data →

In these nine Asian countries, child mortality has more than halved since the year 2000

A data visualization titled "Nine Asian countries where child mortality has halved since 2000." The chart shows the estimated percentage of newborns dying before age five in nine countries: Afghanistan (13% in 2000 to 6% in 2022), Cambodia (11% to 2%), Laos (11% to 4%), Bangladesh (9% to 3%), Myanmar (9% to 4%), India (9% to 3%), Nepal (8% to 3%), Indonesia (5% to 2%), and China (4% to 1%). Each country is represented by a line graph showing a significant decline in child mortality over time. Data source: UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (2024), CC BY.

Child mortality in Asia has fallen sharply. The chart shows nine countries that have reduced child mortality rates by more than half since 2000. This means millions more children surviving through the crucial early years of life.

In India, for example, child mortality fell from 9% to 3%. China saw a similar decrease from 4% to just 1%. Key reasons for these gains include improved nutrition, clean water, sanitation, vaccinations, and poverty reduction.

However, even with these improvements, rates of 1–6% still reflect hundreds of thousands of young lives lost each year in these countries.

This is a story of remarkable progress — but one that’s not yet finished.

Explore child mortality data for more countries

China’s Great Leap Forward caused a dramatic spike in child deaths

Line chart showing the child mortality rate in China, and globally since 1950.

Child mortality rates in China have fallen from more than 20% in 1950 to less than 1% today.

But this steady progress was interrupted in the late 1950s during the “Great Leap Forward”. This was China’s national plan to industrialize rapidly, but it resulted in widespread famine and economic turmoil.

As the chart shows, child mortality rates spiked in China over this period. This change was so dramatic that it is also clearly visible in the global trend. This data comes from the UN’s World Population Prospects.

Explore this data

Less than half of births are attended by skilled health staff in some of the poorest countries

Skilled health staff can reduce the risk of mothers and infants dying during childbirth.

In most countries, almost all births are now attended by trained health professionals. But as you can see on the map, this is the case for less than half of births in some of the world’s poorest countries.

This is based on data from Demographic and Health Surveys and UNICEF. Note that this doesn’t mean births in these countries aren’t attended by any skilled staff; it simply measures staff with professional medical training.

Improving access to essential healthcare and services could help reduce maternal and infant mortality rates.

Explore the data

Infants used to have a higher risk of dying than 80-year-olds

Infancy used to be an extremely dangerous time of life.

As the chart shows, around 20% of girls in Sweden died before their first birthday in the 18th century. This was higher than the risk among 80-year-olds — at that age, 10% to 20% died each year.

Since then, the risk of dying has reduced across all ages, but the reduction has been most profound for infants. Rates have fallen 100-fold.

This progress has come from improvements in hygiene, clean water and sanitation, vaccination, nutrition, neonatal healthcare, and surgery.

The data comes from the Human Mortality Database and the United Nations World Population Prospects. I’ve shown data from Sweden, which has the longest historical records, stretching back to the 1750s.

Explore the same data for many more countries →

The day a child is born is the most dangerous day of their life

The per-day mortality rate across the first year of life. The mortality rate is highest on the first day of life, and then drops sharply in the following days and weeks. After this, it continues to decline more gradually over the rest of the year.

The world has made progress against the tragedy of infant mortality. But infants remain at risk, especially after birth.

The experience of a baby leaving the womb and entering the world is a sudden change, and birth complications, suffocation, trauma, and sepsis can be fatal.

The chart shows the risks over the first year of life. It uses national data from the United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to show the daily death rate (on the vertical axis), plotted against the baby’s age in days (on the horizontal axis).

As you can see, the first day of life is the riskiest. Risks then decline sharply in the days following birth and continue to decline gradually over the rest of the year. This pattern is seen across countries.

Read more about how mortality risks change over our lifetimes

Every day of infancy is safer than in the past

The image presents a line graph illustrating the decline of infant death rates over time in England and Wales. The vertical axis shows the death rate per day, measured in deaths per 1,000 live births, ranging from 0.001 to 10. The horizontal axis represents the age of infants from birth to one year, divided into segments for day of birth, one month, three months, six months, nine months, and one year.

Multiple lines of various colors represent different years: 1921, 1931, 1941, 1951, 1961, 1971, 1981, 1991, 2001, 2011, and 2021. The graph indicates that death rates are highest immediately after birth and decrease significantly in the following days and weeks. A note in the graph emphasizes that the risk of dying drops sharply over time, particularly within the first year of life. 

In the footer, it states that per-day death rates were calculated from interval death rates, with sources from the Office for National Statistics, England and Wales. Additional information points to the data originating from Our World in Data, with a link for further exploration. The author of the graph is Saloni Dattani.

This chart shows death rates across the first year of a baby’s life and how they have been reduced over time.

The data spans 1921 to 2021 and comes from the Office for National Statistics in England & Wales.

On the left-hand side of the chart, you can see that death rates are much higher on the first day of life. They then drop sharply over the following days and continue declining gradually over the rest of the year.

But you can also see that over decades, the entire curve has shifted downwards. This means that every day of infancy is safer than in the past.

Read more about the decline in child mortality

Much more progress can be made against child mortality

This world map titled "Child mortality rate, 2021," visually conveys the estimated share of newborns who die before age five in each country. The color-coding of the countries reveals that Central Africa experiences the highest child mortality rates, indicated by the darkest shades. The bottom of the image credits the "UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (2023)" as the source of the data.

The world has made great progress against child mortality. But in many countries, a significant share still die during childhood.

The data on this map comes from the UN IGME, which estimates child mortality rates worldwide using detailed household surveys and vital statistics.

As the map shows, child mortality is much lower in rich countries, where fewer than 1% of children die before the age of five.

However, the figures are much higher in poor countries, especially across Africa and South Asia. In Pakistan, for example, 6% die before their fifth birthday. In Nigeria and Somalia, the figure is 11%.

These statistics show that despite impressive falls in child mortality, much more progress can be made.

We live in a world in which ten children die every minute.

Almost one billion children have died globally since 1950

A chart showing that 970 million children died globally since 1950

The deaths of children are daily tragedies on an enormous scale. The UN estimates that between 1950 and 2021, 970 million children died. That’s almost a billion children who died in only 70 years.

The chart shows that the world has made progress. 22% of the children born in 1950 died before they were five years old. Since then, the global child mortality rate has declined to 3.7%.

In absolute terms, the number of child deaths has also declined: in 1950, 20 million children died; by the year 2000, this number had halved; and since then, it has halved again.

But the deaths of millions of young children every year remain one of the worst problems in the world and deserve much more attention.

Explore this data